Monday, January 13

Democrats hope Biden can ride the celebration’s unique election wave: From the Politics Desk

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Invite to variation ofFrom the Desk night that brings you the NBC Politics ' and from the , the and .

In 's edition, Ben Kamisar discusses why ' in and off- not always provide an . Plus, Garrett Haake, who the and outs of - RNC co- .

Democrats notch another unique , riding that has actually avoided Biden so farBy Ben Kamisar

Democrats are commemorating the of another unique election that drew nationwide – this a nearly 25- in a swingy House district in , where have actually dealt with over a that put to IVF at in the state.

The 's success there, in to other current unique and off-year elections in and even -leaning , recommends there is a substantial well of for to take advantage of this fall. So far, it's not if he will be able to ride the very same wave of momentum as these down- Democrats.

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The 81-year-old Biden stays undesirable as issues over his continue. At finest, nationwide and swing-state appear like a - for the president, even as he looks for to like rights that have actually caused in other places. Biden's with essential sections of his , especially of and citizens, stays .

Democrats indicate the scoreboard as Biden remains in much better shape than the surveys recommend. After a better-than-expected 2022 midterm election , the celebration kept the governorship in red in 2015, while the abortion-rights-supporters side swept essential tally procedures. More just recently, Democrats won essential unique elections for the .S. House in and the state House in .

It's tough to draw a straight line from unique and off-year elections to a governmental . Unique elections are usually low-turnout affairs: Less than 6,000 were in Tuesday's Alabama state House contest. While abortion and IVF might have been an animating there, it's precisely how it will out after are invested more specifying Biden and .

Plus, as 538's Nathaniel Rakich composed last month, while Democrats had a string of strong unique election provings in the majority of , Republicans have actually broadly done much better in current months.

Aside from these election , Democrats are awaiting other favorable indications to Biden. He simply started a multimillion- and blitz targeted at supporting his 2020 union, there are indications that ' of the are enhancing,

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